WTC 2025 Final: India’s Qualification Chances Depend on These Outcomes

Here’s how India may go to the ICC World Test Championship final after defeating Australia in the Perth Test.

With a convincing 295-run victory against Australia in Perth, the Indian cricket team significantly increased their chances of qualifying for the ICC World Test Championship (WTC) final. As a consequence, India took the top spot on the points standings while Australia fell to second place.

A few days later, the Proteas overtook Australia to take the No. 2 slot, moving the men from Down Under to No. 3 after South Africa’s victory against Sri Lanka at home. Even though the WTC points table won’t be finalized for some months, things are already starting to look shaky.

South Africa, Australia, New Zealand, Sri Lanka, and India are all vying for the top two positions. Even though India had a strong base to work from after winning the Perth Test, Rohit Sharma’s team still has a long way to go before they can be certain of a place in the WTC final.

Describe the Qualification Scenarios for India’s ICC World Test Championship:

Scenario 1: India defeats Australia 5-0, 4-1, 4-0, or 3-0

Without taking into account the outcomes of other teams, Rohit Sharma’s squad would go to the final if India won the series by such a wide margin. Australia will virtually be eliminated from the final race with such a result.

Scenario 2: India defeated Australia 3-1

If South Africa does not defeat Sri Lanka in the series’ second Test, India may qualify if they defeat Australia 3-1 in the five-match series. But if India wins the series 3-1 and Sri Lanka loses to South Africa in the second Test, India will be eliminated. India might advance with only a draw between Sri Lanka and South Africa.

Scenario 3: India defeats Australia 3-2

A scoreline like that would make qualifying very difficult. With a total like that, India would need assistance from the Lankans in order to at least tie with Australia in the two-match Test series that begins on January 29.

Scenario 4: India and Australia tie 2-2 in the series

If the Border-Gavaskar series ends in a tie, India’s prospects of qualifying are significantly diminished. In such scenario, South Africa would have to defeat Sri Lanka 2-0 in the current series. The Lankans then have to defeat Australia in the two-match Test series.